Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a prize pot of about $5,000. Metaculus, a forecasting platform, poses questions of geopolitical ...
The preliminary projections released today come from a tournament run by Metaculus that asks expert forecasters, data scientists, economists, researchers, and others to predict answers to specific ...
Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Forecasters estimate the probabilities of the events occurring—a more informative guess than a simple “yes” or “no”—weeks to ...
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